Commenting on the latest ONS trade data, BCC Head of Trade Policy, William Bain, said:
“Tariff effects are clearly being felt by companies exporting to the US. Total goods exports across the Atlantic for Q2 2025 were 13.5 per cent lower than a year ago.
“But the UK’s performance is not all bleak, with strong services exports across the second quarter.
“Overall, goods exports showed a Jekyll and Hyde character, with non-EU goods exports badly hit, while goods exports to the EU (nearly half of the UK’s total goods exports) were higher across the quarter.
“This was the first full quarter of the ‘reciprocal’ US tariffs, which add an extra 10 per cent to most UK sectors, from food and drink to chemicals. The effect of these higher costs is becoming clear, with the lowest levels of goods exports to the US for 3 years.
“Implementation of the UK’s trade deal with the US in full is now needed to improve prospects, particularly for steel and aluminium goods.
“The agreement should be a platform to discuss further tariff reform with the US, especially in goods sectors where there is little competition on production.
“We also need Ministers to focus on implementing those areas of the Trade Strategy which can boost goods export sales and growth at pace, while sustaining the rate of progress in services trade.”
Goods Exports
UK goods exports declined in June 2025 by six point one per cent in volume compared with May.
Goods exports to the EU fell by two point one per cent and to non-EU trade partners by 10.2 per cent.
Comparing UK goods exports in Q2 to the US with the same quarter a year ago, sales were £2bn lower on non-seasonally adjusted data. A drop of 13.5 per cent year-on-year by quarter.
Across Q2 2025 as a whole, UK goods exports fell in value terms by three point seven per cent. Goods exports to the EU rose by three point six per cent over that period, but for the rest of the world they fell by nine point nine per cent across a whole range of material manufactured products.
On exports to the EU across the quarter, power generators and ships exports performed strongly.
US Tariff Changes in Q2
Reciprocal tariffs across most UK goods exports sectors to the US came into effect in early April. Q2 is therefore the first quarter where most UK goods were affected. Steel and aluminium product tariffs at 25 per cent have applied since March.
Tariffs of 10 per cent on automotive vehicles and automotive parts for UK vehicles in the US, and zero tariffs for civil aerospace vehicles and parts came into effect from 30 June 2025. There are also now 50 per cent tariffs for certain copper exports.
Goods Imports
The volume of UK goods imports fell by three point six per cent in June. This was made up of a five point seven per cent drop in EU goods imports, and one point five per cent fall from the rest of the world.
For Q2 as a whole, total goods imports to the UK rose by one point six per cent, in value terms, with imports from the EU 3three point one per cent higher on the quarter and non-EU goods imports flat.
Chemicals and machinery/transport equipment imports from the EU performed strongly in Q2 2025.
Services
In services, UK exports fell by zero point two per cent in June but across the last quarter experienced strong growth at two point nine per cent. This was particularly pronounced in professional and advisory and other business services, financial services and travel services.
Services imports rose by one per cent during June, but across the quarter as a whole fell slightly by zero point two per cent with drops in travel services, pensions and insurance imports.
More detail on the ONS data can be found here.